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--- public:t-709-aies-2024:aies-2024:futurology [2024/10/31 16:13] – [Three Claims About the Future] thorisson
+++ public:t-709-aies-2024:aies-2024:futurology [2024/11/04 14:49] (current) – [Automating Intelligence] thorisson
@@ Line 25: / Line 25: @@
 ==== Crystal Ball ====
-|  Our Crystal Ball  | We can arm ourselves with  ||
+|  Our Crystal Ball  | is composed of parts that allow studying certain key factors in isolation.   ||
-| | 1. | Remaining open questions in AI. |
+| | We can arm ourselves with: ||
-| | 2. | Understanding the drivers of "progress".   |
+| |  1.  | Remaining open questions in AI. |
-| | 3. | Identifying and mapping out key causal factors of change.     |
+| |  2.  | Understanding the drivers of "progress".   |
+| |  3.  | Identifying and mapping out key causal factors of change.     |
+|  And  | use them to dissect, study, and analyze their nature, behavior, and interaction.    ||
 \\
@@ Line 37: / Line 39: @@
 |  #1:  | Rate of progress in automation through AI depends on rate of progress of basic research in AI ||
 |  #2:  | Rate of progress in AI basic research depends on when these four mental processes will be automated:   ||
-| | a. | **General autonomous learning**     |
+| |  a.  | **General autonomous learning**     |
-| | b. | **Empirical reasoning** over autonomously learned knowledge     |
+| |  b.  | **Empirical reasoning** over autonomously learned knowledge     |
-| | c. | Creative autonomous **goal generation and management**     |
+| |  c.  | Creative autonomous **goal generation and management**     |
-| | d. | All three **unified in a single system**    |
+| |  d.  | All three **unified in a single system**    |
 |  #3:  | Automation with AI will be at least as impactful as automation in the last industrial revolution. ||
@@ Line 52: / Line 54: @@
 |  Prerequisites  | Fundamental knowledge about how to automate intelligence is a pre-requisite for applying automated intelligence government, business, health industry, and all other areas of life.    |
 |  Home of Basic Research  | Basic research is primarily performed in academia.  \\ Hence: progress in the application of AI depends on progress of basic research in academia.   |
-|  "Speed of Progress"  |  The speed of basic research depends on human ingenuity, funding, enabling factors.   |
+|  "Rate of Progress"  |  The speed of basic research depends on human ingenuity, funding, enabling factors.   |
 \\
@@ Line 74: / Line 76: @@
 \\
-==== The AI revolution, Fourth Industrial Revolution ====
+==== The Fourth Industrial Revolution is the AI revolution ====
 |  4th Industrial Revolution  | Has just begun.   |